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About the Symposium

International Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning Symposium 2015

The 6th International Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning Symposium (IRAHSS 2015) will be held on 7 & 8 July in Singapore.

The theme for IRAHSS 2015 is "Connecting Foresight, Policy, and Practice". IRAHSS 2015 will feature four panels (including one breakout panel), where speakers of international repute who have worked in and contributed to the field of strategic anticipation, will provide useful insights to think through complexity and manage uncertainty. The panel topics for 2015 include:

Panel 1: Applying Foresight in Organisations
This panel showcases ways in which foresight has been applied in government and non-government organisations. It aims to demonstrate different processes and platforms, and examine how they were successfully applied.

Panel 1 Speakers' Biography & Presentation
Aaron Maniam (Moderator)
Director, Industry Division, Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI)
Biography | Video

Mara Karlin
Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy and Force Development, U.S. Department of Defense
Biography | Video

Rosemarie Forsythe
Former Director, International Political Strategy, Exxon Mobil Corporation

Stuart Candy
Director, Situation Lab, OCAD University
Biography | Abstract | Video

Adam Nyman
Director, Debating Europe
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

Jill Wong
Director, Strategic Policy Office (SPO), Public Service Division (PSD)
Biography | Presentation | Video

Panel 2: Developing Capabilities in Sense-Making
This panel will focus on the different aspects of sense-making. Elements of R4 will be discussed here, as speakers present capabilities that contribute towards collaborative foresight.

Panel 2 Speakers' Biography & Presentation
Adrian Taylor (Moderator)
CEO, ForeSight to Strategy for Security and Sustainability IN Governance (4SING)
Biography | Video

Thomas Malone
Founding Director, MIT Center for Collective Intelligence
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

Agnes Kwek
Director, Corporate Transformation & Futures, Land Transport Authority (LTA)
Biography | Presentation | Video

Tim Hwang
Founder & CEO Fiscal Note
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

Helen Margetts
Director, Oxford Internet Institute
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

Daniel Erasmus
CEO, NewsConsole
Biography | Abstract | Video

Panel 3A: The Future of Work
This breakout panel will explore how work and work environments will change in the future. The convergence of trends such as the automation of jobs, the shifting aspirations of workers, the re-organisation of work and workplaces and the transformation of education will all conspire to rapidly change the landscape of the labour market and shape the future of work. This panel discusses the implications to the nature of work, workforce composition as well as workplace practices.

Panel 3A Speakers' Biography & Presentation
Thomas Malone (Moderator)
Founding Director, MIT Center for Collective Intelligence
Biography | Presentation | Video

Alexander Goldman
Research Manager, Technology Horizons, Institute for the Future (IFTF)
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

Katherine Chapman
Assistant Director, UK Commission for Employment & Skills (UKCES)
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

Carl Benedikt Frey
Co-Director, Oxford Martin Programme on Technology and Employment, Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

David Roberts
Director, Graduate Studies, Singularity University

Panel 3B: The Future of Transport
This breakout session explores how transportation systems of the future will be transformed by technological advancements. Topics for discussion include the presence of driverless cars, infrastructure for alternate forms of commute, and how social media platforms can contribute to more efficient mobility. Looking at various scenarios of future societies and how people work, live and play, this panel discusses the challenges and opportunities that we could face.

Panel 3B Speakers' Biography & Presentation
Carlo Ratti (Moderator)
Director, MIT Senseable City Laboratory
Biography | Video

Vinay Venkatraman
CEO & Founder, Leapcraft
Biography | Video

April Rinne
Advisor, Sharing Economy, Shareable Cities
Biography | Video

João Barros
Professor, Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Porto
Biography | Presentation | Video

Rosina Howe-Teo
Group Director, Innovation & InfoComm Technology Group, Land Transport Authority (LTA)
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

Douglas J. Malewicki
Founder & Chief Visionary, SkyTran
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

Panel 4: Analysing Big Shifts in Global Issues
This panel aims to expound on emerging strategic issues. With 5 speakers on this panel, we hope to explore a range of emerging issues across multiple domains. This includes geopolitical, economic, environmental and technological issues.

This event is organised by the National Security Coordination Secretariat. It is recommended for government officers, think-tanks and private enterprises with a strong interest in horizon scanning and foresight.

Panel 4 Speakers' Biography & Presentation
Paul Saffo (Moderator)
Chair, Futures Studies and Forecasting, Singularity University
Biography | Video

Tyler Cowen
General Director, Mercatus Center, George Mason University
Biography | Abstract | Video

Eric Rasmussen
CEO, Infinitum Humanitarian Systems (IHS)
Biography | Abstract | Presentation

Ilan Mizrahi
Former National Security Advisor & Head, National Security Council, Israel
Biography | Abstract | Video

Ruan Zongze
Vice-President & Senior Research Fellow, China Institute of International Studies
Biography | Presentation | Video

Shashi Jayakumar
Senior Fellow & Head of Centre of Excellence for National Security (CENS)
David Snowden
Founder & Chief Scientific Officer, Cognitive Edge


Crowdsensor is a collaboration between the RAHS Programme Office and Cognitive Edge. As part of IRAHSS' aims to promote active dialogue and sharing of methods, concepts and technologies, Crowdsensor is the attempt to build an active network of collaborators, partners and like-minded intellectuals who will become part of a bespoke human sensor network.

Powered by SenseMaker®, Crowdsensor is an approach which enhances natural sensemaking and crowd-sensing through a technological platform which allows collaborative insight. Developed by Dave Snowden, and his team at Cognitive Edge, SenseMaker® draws on self-signified micro-narratives, which could be anything from a short personal story that a respondent recounts, to a snapshot of a symbolic moment.

Crowdsensor will harness the power of the SenseMaker® ecology and its mass-sensing capacity to deliver real-time feedback to presentations and panel discussions, whilst capturing key meta-data for better analysis of trends. The consolidated feedback will appear as pattern-based visualisations, and enable quick analyses of emergent patterns.

We invite you to be a part of this network - share your stories and insights as we go along and watch as the patterns of insights form and shift over the IRAHSS 2015 journey.

To get started, click here for more detailed information!

Symposium Report
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