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IRAHSS 2011

About the Symposium

International Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning Symposium 2011

The 4th International Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning Symposium will be held from 18 to 19 October 2011 in Raffles City Convention Centre, Singapore. The symposium is organized by the National Security Coordination Secretariat at the Prime Minister's Office.

About 300 international participants are expected for the by-invitation-only symposium, mainly from governments, think tanks and private enterprises with a strong interest in horizon scanning.

The symposium will:

  1. promote active dialogue on risk assessment and horizon scanning concepts, methods and technologies
  2. provide the opportunity for Singapore to share its Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning or RAHS programme with an international audience
  3. encourage active discussion of New Security Challenges as well as Big Shifts and Discontinuities that affect us all.

The theme for IRAHSS 2011 is “Emerging Risks, Emerging Opportunities”. IRAHSS 2011 will feature four panels covering the following issues:

Panel 1: Communicating Strategic Foresight Insights

Panel 1 Speakers' Biography & Presentation
DEVADAS KRISHNADAS (Moderator)
Deputy Director (Strategic Planning), Ministry of Finance
Biography | Video

BERNADETTE FOONG
Director, Futures and Strategy Division, Ministry of Trade and Industry
Biography | Abstract | Presentation

DAVID SIBBET
Founder, The Grove Consultants International
Biography | Abstract | Presentation (Part 1) (Part 2) | Video

CO-PRESENTER: PAUL SAFFO
Consulting Associate Professor, Stanford University

JASON TESTER
Research Director, Institute for the Future
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

JOHN BREDAR
Senior Executive Producer, National Geographic Specials
Biography | Abstract | Video

Panel 1 Question and Answer Video

Graphic notes contributed by Wendy Wong

Panel 2: Integrating Strategic Foresight into Risk Management

Panel 2 Speakers' Biography & Presentation
AARON MANIAM (Moderator)
Director, Institute of Policy Development, Civil Service College
Biography | Video

TAN LI SAN
Director, Strategic Policy Office
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

SHEILA RONIS
Chairman, Vision Working Group of the Project on National Security Reform
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

ALAIN GOUDREAU
Head, Risk Assessment and Capability Integration, Defence Research and Development Canada
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

SACHI WIMMER
First Assistant Secretary, Homeland and Border Security Division, Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet, Australia
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

Panel 2 Question and Answer Video

Graphic notes contributed by Cheryl Chung

Panel 3: New Security Challenges

Panel 3 Speakers' Biography & Presentation
KUMAR RAMAKRISHNA (Moderator)
Assoc Prof, Centre of Excellence for National Security
Biography | Video

MICHAEL DENISON
Research Director, Global Risks Analysis, Control Risks
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

TATE NURKIN
Director, Security and Military Intelligence Consulting, IHS Jane's
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

ERICH MARQUARDT
Editor-in-Chief, CTC Sentinel
Biography | Abstract | Video

NATHAN HUGHES
Director, Military Analysis, Stratfor
Biography | Video

NEWTON HOWARD
Board Director, Center for Advanced Defense Studies
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

DAN ALAMARIU
Director, Comparative Analytics, Eurasia Group
Biography | Presentation | Video

Panel 3 Discussion Video

Graphic notes contributed by David Sibbet

Panel 4: Big Shifts and Discontinuities

Panel 4 Speakers' Biography & Presentation
PAUL SAFFO (Moderator)
Consulting Associate Professor, Stanford University
Biography | Video

JIA QINGGUO
Associate Dean of School of International Studies, Peking University
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

ARVIND VIRMANI
Executive Director for India, International Monetary Fund
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

STEVEN WEBER
Professor of Political Science, University of California, Berkeley
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

IAN GOLDIN
Director, Oxford Martin School
Biography | Abstract | Video

RICHARD SAMANS
Executive Director, Global Green Growth Institute
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

LENNY T. MENDONCA
Director, McKinsey & Company, Inc.
Biography | Abstract | Presentation | Video

Panel 4 Discussion Video

Graphic notes contributed by David Sibbet
Closing
David Snowden
Founder and Chief Scientific Officer, Cognitive Edge Pte Ltd
Biography | Presentation | Video (Day 1) | Video (Day 2)

Symposium Report
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